Following his successful tips at 17/2 and 13/5 in Wales’ 2-2 draw against Iceland, Dave Tindall seeks further profits as Craig Bellamy’s side hosts Montenegro in Cardiff on Monday night.
Wales vs Montenegro
- Date: Monday, 14 October
- Kick-off: 19:45
- Live on: S4C, Viaplay YouTube, Premier Player & S4C Online
Lineups
Wales
- Goalkeeper: Danny Ward
- Defenders: Connor Roberts, Joe Rodon, Ben Davies, Neco Williams
- Midfielders: Harry Wilson, Joe Allen, Oliver Cooper
- Forwards: Sorba Thomas, Kieffer Moore, David Brooks
Montenegro
- Goalkeeper: Igor Nikic
- Defenders: Adam Marusic, Igor Vujacic, Nikola Sipcic, Andrija Vukcevic
- Midfielders: Driton Camaj, Marko Bakic, Edvin Kuc, Vladimir Jovovic, Nikola Krstovic
- Forward: Stevan Jovetic
Betting Odds
Here are the current betting odds for the Wales vs Montenegro UEFA Nations League match on October 14, 2024:
- Wales to Win: 1/2 (or 1.50 decimal)
- Montenegro to Win: 5/1 (or 6.00 decimal)
- Draw: 11/4 (or 3.75 decimal)
Additional Betting Markets:
- Over 2.5 Goals: 21/20 (or 2.05 decimal)
- Under 2.5 Goals: 3/4 (or 1.75 decimal)
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS):
- Yes: 11/10
- No: 4/6
For goalscorer markets, Harry Wilson is a popular choice at 13/5 to score at any time. Combination bets, like Wales to win with both teams scoring, are also available at 11/4.
Wales Eyeing Home Advantage
Under new manager Craig Bellamy, Wales remains unbeaten, collecting five points from their three Group B4 matches. This run places them second behind Turkey, who have secured two wins after their 0-0 draw with Wales in Bellamy’s first game.
Wales’ last outing saw them take a commanding 2-0 lead in Iceland, just as they did in their earlier 2-1 win against Montenegro. However, they couldn’t hold on to the lead in Iceland, eventually drawing 2-2. Despite the disappointment of conceding a two-goal advantage, Bellamy took positives from the performance, particularly from the second half, noting the learning opportunities for both him and the team.
Montenegro Struggling in Group B4
Montenegro has had a tough start, losing all three of their matches and managing just one goal. Despite these results, they haven’t been completely outclassed, with a narrow 2-1 defeat to Wales and a 1-0 loss to group leaders Turkey.
In their match against Turkey, Montenegro allowed 29 shots and were fortunate the margin wasn’t larger. With five consecutive losses, they face an uphill battle to avoid relegation from the group.
Wales Heavy Favorites in Cardiff
Wales are 1/2 favorites to beat Montenegro, who are priced at 5/1, with the draw available at 11/4. Given Wales’ superior form and the fact they’re playing at home, these odds are unsurprising. The Welsh side also sits 45 places above Montenegro in the FIFA World Rankings.
For those expecting goals, Wales are 11/4 to win with both teams scoring, a bet that came through in their first encounter. With Montenegro’s limited firepower, the 3/4 odds on Under 2.5 Goals could also offer value, though their previous meeting did see three goals.
Johnson Out, Wilson Steps In
Brennan Johnson’s opening goal in Iceland earned bettors a 13/5 and 17/2 return, but he won’t be in action on Monday due to suspension. Wales will also be missing key players Ethan Ampadu, Aaron Ramsey, and Dan James.
However, Harry Wilson presents a solid alternative for a goalscorer bet. While he may not be Gareth Bale, Wilson has proven effective for the national team, netting 10 goals, including strikes in his last two games. With a wand-like left foot, he’s priced at 13/5 to score and could be worth backing.
Recommended Bet
- Harry Wilson to Score @ 13/5 with SBK.
Potential Value in Montenegro Fightback
Though Wales are expected to win, Montenegro shouldn’t be entirely discounted. The pattern in Wales’ last two matches—starting fast but fading—suggests a potential for another narrow finish. Backing the Wales/Draw option at 12/1 offers a small-play opportunity.
For Bet Builder fans, combining Wilson to score in a Draw is available at 22/1.
